IUSSP 2009



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Session 34:
Modelling components of population change

Monday, September 28
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Fès 2B
Imouzzer Area
Chair: Heather Booth, Australian National University

1. Probabilistic projections of the total fertility rate  •  Leontine Alkema, National University of Singapore; Adrian Raftery, University of Washington; Patrick Gerland, United Nations Population Division; Samuel J. Clark, University of Washington; François Pelletier, United Nations Population Division

2. An econometric model for forecasting migration to Norway  •  Helge Brunborg, Statistics Norway; Ådne Cappelen, Statistics Norway

3. Extrapolative projections of mortality: towards a more consistent method. The central scenario and study of estimation errors  •  Dalkhat M. Ediev, Vienna Institute of Demography

4. Coherent mortality forecasting via the aggregate measure of life expectancy  •  Tiziana Torri, Università di Roma "La Sapienza" and Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

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