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Session 119:
Probabilistic population projection

Wednesday, September 30
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Karam 2

Chair: Wolfgang Lutz, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)

  1. Sub-national stochastic population projections with highly volatile international migration: the case of New ZealandMichael Cameron, University of Waikato; Jacques Poot, University of Waikato

  2. The random country model: an examination of likely demographic surprises in Latin America and their fiscal impactTimothy Miller, CEPAL; Guiomar Bay, CELADE; Ruiz Magda, CELADE

  3. Forecasting city population growth in developing countriesMark R. Montgomery, Population Council; Thomas Buettner, United Nations; Susana Beatriz Adamo, Columbia University; Donghwan Kim, Stony Brook University, State University of New York (SUNY)

  4. Prediction and error propagation in cohort diffusion modelsMikko Myrskylä, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

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