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Session 34:
Modelling components of population change

Monday, September 28
1:30 PM - 3:00 PM
Fès 2B
Imouzzer

Chair: Heather Booth, Australian National University

  1. Probabilistic projections of the total fertility rateLeontine Alkema, National University of Singapore; Adrian Raftery, University of Washington; Patrick Gerland, United Nations Population Division; Samuel J. Clark, University of Washington; François Pelletier, United Nations Population Division

  2. An econometric model for forecasting migration to NorwayHelge Brunborg, Statistics Norway; Ådne Cappelen, Statistics Norway

  3. Extrapolative projections of mortality: towards a more consistent method. The central scenario and study of estimation errorsDalkhat M. Ediev, Vienna Institute of Demography

  4. Coherent mortality forecasting via the aggregate measure of life expectancyTiziana Torri, Università di Roma "La Sapienza" and Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

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